New Prairie
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #69
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #16
New Prairie Regional Rank #6
New Prairie Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 17.1%
Advance to Regional 81.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 682 697 643 619 633 827 698 716
Team Adjusted Rating 697 643 619 633 679 698 716
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
120  Lillian Zelasko 9 19:52 19:49 19:29 19:46 20:03 19:45 20:08 19:57 19:51 19:57
444  Juliana Kroll 12 21:08 21:20 21:17 20:50 20:45 21:12 21:05 21:02 21:16 21:29
496  Audrey Henning 9 21:17 21:19 20:45 21:02 21:12 21:22 21:28 21:32
601  Ilayna Baltes 9 21:37 21:31 21:59 21:32 21:18 21:37 21:56 21:30 21:46
1,261  Brianna Hooton 11 23:03 23:15 22:42 22:42 23:21 23:02 22:47 23:44
1,360  Sage Mougin 11 23:15 23:12 22:40 24:00 22:53 23:46 22:54 23:36
Alexis Lichtenbarger 11 24:41 25:29 24:51 24:51 25:37 24:00 24:18
Serena Cuevas 12 25:11 24:17 24:56 27:54 28:07 24:59 24:06 25:17
Brianna Podemski 10 25:14 27:26 26:09 25:23 25:03 24:54 24:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 17.1% 13.5 344 0.1 1.2 1.3 2.1 3.1 3.9 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.1
Regionals 81.0% 6.1 147 0.1 5.0 12.1 30.0 34.0
Sectionals 100% 5.1 134 6.2 74.9 19.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lillian Zelasko 26.1% 91.4 26.1% 26.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lillian Zelasko 100% 23.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.2 2.4 2.7 2.3 3.4 4.7 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.0 4.7 5.5 5.0 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Juliana Kroll 59.1% 82.6 50.6% 57.0%
Audrey Henning 35.7% 90.7 22.5% 29.5%
Ilayna Baltes 18.2% 105.7 1.3% 3.8%
Brianna Hooton 17.1% 160.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sage Mougin 17.1% 163.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lillian Zelasko 100% 7.8 0.9 5.4 10.4 11.9 11.7 12.1 10.8 8.2 7.7 6.0 4.9 3.4 2.6 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Juliana Kroll 100% 31.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.8 3.5 2.6 4.4 100.0% 100.0%
Audrey Henning 100% 34.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.2 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Ilayna Baltes 100% 39.9 0.1 0.1 100.0% 99.9%
Brianna Hooton 86.6% 57.8 29.5% 9.0%
Sage Mougin 83.0% 59.7 10.5% 2.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lillian Zelasko 7.4 0.9 5.9 10.1 13.8 14.1 14.3 11.2 8.8 7.0 5.7 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1
Juliana Kroll 24.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.1 4.4 5.4 6.6 7.5 8.6 9.6 9.0
Audrey Henning 26.8 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 3.4 4.5 4.7 6.8 8.5
Ilayna Baltes 30.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 2.2
Brianna Hooton 43.1
Sage Mougin 44.4